Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Technocrats big on Crat small on Techno

I enjoy Dean Baker's blog for pointing out that the emperor has no clothes. Here he takes on the "economists" in Washington (the policy people who claim to factor economics into their decision-making) who show stunning ignorance of the real world.

Supposedly Washington is staffed by "technocrats" who bring technique (root: techne) to their power (root: crat). But Baker shows that have precious real technique to guide their idiotic use of power:
There is a bizarre theory circulating in high Washington circles, expressed today by Sebastian Mallaby in the Post, that China is concerned that the huge dollar reserves it holds will lose value. The reason this is bizarre is that the dollar already plunged in value over the years 2002-2008 and China just kept buying more dollars.

The euro went from being worth just over 80 cents at the dollar peak in 2002 to over $1.60 at its trough early last year. Through this whole slide, China just kept buying up more dollars. Does anyone think that China's leaders did not notice the plunge in the value of the dollar? This is not exactly secret information.

Obviously, China's central bank was fully aware that the dollar was losing value but was willing to buy dollars anyhow in order to preserve its export market in the United States. That is the reason that it continues to buy dollars even though its leaders know that they will lose money on the deal. The economy can easily afford the loss, contrary to the bizarre calculations Mallaby uses in his column.

If it seems strange that elite Washington types can push economic views that are far removed from reality, remember, these people could not see an $8 trillion housing bubble.
If you wonder how the SEC couldn't spot a $50 billion Ponzi scheme even though the whistleblower, Harry Markopolos, on multiple occasions gave them all the evidence necessary, the above gives you an idea of the breadth and depth of ignorance that passes for expertise in the US capital. It is a meritocracy gone sour, it is technocracy where real experts are barred while incompetents fight for position at the public trough. Sad.

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