Saturday, February 13, 2010

Dust Off Your Crystal Balls

It is funny how easy it is to predict the past.

The really hard thing to do is to predict the future. And the proof is provided by the Watts Up With That? web site:

Here's a March 2000 prediction that "global warming" means no more snowfall for the UK:
Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past

By Charles Onians

Britain's winter ends tomorrow with further indications of a striking environmental change: snow is starting to disappear from our lives.

Britain's winter ends tomorrow with further indications of a striking environmental change: snow is starting to disappear from our lives.

Sledges, snowmen, snowballs and the excitement of waking to find that the stuff has settled outside are all a rapidly diminishing part of Britain's culture, as warmer winters - which scientists are attributing to global climate change - produce not only fewer white Christmases, but fewer white Januaries and Februaries.

The first two months of 2000 were virtually free of significant snowfall in much of lowland Britain, and December brought only moderate snowfall in the South-east. It is the continuation of a trend that has been increasingly visible in the past 15 years: in the south of England, for instance, from 1970 to 1995 snow and sleet fell for an average of 3.7 days, while from 1988 to 1995 the average was 0.7 days. London's last substantial snowfall was in February 1991.
It is now 2010 and we can see just how crazily wrong the "no more snow" warnings from doomster global warming types:
Continuing the pattern of top ten Northern Hemisphere snow extent rankings from October, December and January, it looks like February may also be headed for the record books.


North America, Europe and Asia are all showing large positive anomalies in snow cover.

Daily Departure – February 11, 2010


The record February snow extent occurred in 1978 with an anomaly of more than 5 million square miles. That may be tough to beat, but from the map above it may have already happened. February will definitely be ranked in the top two.
I guess those who extrapolate the end of snow from a few warm winters will need to dust off their crystal balls and try again. I'm sure they will get it right eventually. Looking back over the last 4.5 billion years there were long stretches without snow during winter. I'm sure they will happen again. So these doomsters will someday get what they so fervently wish for.

Go read the original post on the Watts Up With That? web site to get more details.

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